Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 16.877729 19.547107 22.435962 25.786466 29.556871 33.659918 38.453863
2025-10-19 12.244039 15.892442 20.224571 25.707496 32.417705 40.315740 50.264203
2025-10-26 9.568865 13.609596 18.772264 25.760624 34.869082 46.224040 61.319177
2025-11-02 7.630346 11.753154 17.363264 25.399601 36.432801 50.842963 70.841179
2025-11-09 6.188085 10.251146 16.103168 24.916955 37.577553 54.786646 79.553507
2025-11-16 5.067040 8.989744 14.946622 24.339954 38.395229 58.191122 87.607042
2025-11-23 4.093021 7.769801 13.648980 23.337839 38.406632 60.347147 93.929667
2025-11-30 3.679052 7.389611 13.581284 24.158511 41.128643 66.499941 106.251456
2025-12-07 3.334364 7.066151 13.548166 24.997566 43.900020 72.849789 119.176365
2025-12-14 2.827693 6.358084 12.765493 24.499329 44.473158 75.855473 127.203275
2025-12-21 2.380514 5.682157 11.942920 23.823856 44.660572 78.217066 134.305220
2025-12-28 2.235337 5.588203 12.163509 24.983056 47.975670 85.692131 149.736920
2026-01-04 2.070944 5.450611 12.328928 26.140855 51.522195 93.989535 167.329666
2026-01-11 1.820935 5.084720 12.013757 26.397685 53.555929 100.003300 181.721241
2026-01-18 1.592413 4.720637 11.648445 26.510131 55.324416 105.664211 195.832744
2026-01-25 1.359082 4.292194 11.081615 26.149950 56.169272 109.761146 207.508955
2026-02-01 1.152059 3.881501 10.488140 25.656750 56.697936 113.301911 218.381360
2026-02-08 0.970780 3.494549 9.885676 25.065354 56.965096 116.358346 228.530308
2026-02-15 0.793917 3.071688 9.127279 24.037669 56.259394 117.570327 235.451088
2026-02-22 0.735977 2.994848 9.205535 24.879340 59.398658 126.049905 255.741151
2026-03-01 0.684008 2.924625 9.289834 25.739750 62.631384 134.862939 277.016614
2026-03-08 0.581333 2.656434 8.813049 25.228846 62.925721 138.080559 288.170987
2026-03-15 0.487181 2.387978 8.288493 24.536139 62.759637 140.374742 297.687713